Real-Time Adversarial Intelligence & Decision Making (RAID)

Vision:

The RAID Program focuses on the challenge of anticipating enemy actions in a military operation. In a number of recent publications, US military leaders call for development of techniques and tools to address this critical challenge.

The US Air Force community uses the term predictive battlespace awareness while a related term, predictive analysis, is beginning to be used in the US Army community. Both refer to future techniques and technologies that would help the commander and staff to characterize and predict likely enemy courses of action, to relate the history of the enemy's performance to its current and future actions, and to associate these predictions with opportunities for friendly actions and effects.

Both communities have pointed out the lack of technologies, techniques and tools to support predictive analysis and predictive battlespace awareness.

The RAID program will result in key technologies for tools capable of in-execution predictive analysis of enemy probable actions. A particular focus of the program will be tactical urban operations against irregular combatants - an especially challenging and operationally relevant domain.

The program intends to leverage novel approximate game-theoretic and deception-sensitive algorithms to provide real-time enemy estimates to tactical commander. In doing so, RAID will address two critical technical challenges: (a) Adversarial Reasoning: the ability to continuously identify and update predictions of likely enemy actions; (b) Deception Reasoning: the ability to continuously detect likely deceptions in the available battlefield information.

Realistic experimentation and evaluation will drive the development process using human-in-the-loop, Army OneSAF-based wargames to compare humans and RAID.

The products of the program are targeted for transition to the Army, such as the DCGS-A program.

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